Advant-E Corp (ADVC) is a tiny software company that has flown under the radar during 2010 despite outstanding financial performance and near term catalysts in the form of a special dividend.
The stock remains significantly undervalued at current prices.
Financial Highlights
ADVC reported a 6% improvement in second quarter revenues compared to the second quarter of 2009.
Net income also jumped by 28% in the quarter, due to a pickup in sales on the Merkur side of the business, along with strong cost controls across the board.
Merkur Group – Enterprise Software
The traditional software side of the business has struggled throughout the recession, posting revenue declines over the past several quarters. Impressively, the company has managed to squeak out a profit over that time period due to lower commission rates and cost controls.
The latest release shows the first glimpses of a turnaround for Merkur.
Quarterly revenues increased 2% from the same period last year, and 54% compared to the first quarter of 2010. This is an encouraging sign that ADVC’s customers are returning after pushing off purchases throughout 2008 and 2009.
Edict Systems – SaaS (Internet-Based)
The steady growth in the Edict Systems business has been amazing, considering the economic climate over the past 2-3 years.
Going back the past 14 quarters, this is the first quarter where the company didn’t produce sequential quarterly revenue increases:
The company has no debt and an unused $1.5m credit line. ROE and CROIC come in at 21.6% and 25.6% respectively, both outstanding.
Overall, the company reported record quarterly income, the 28th consecutive profitable quarter, and is on track for the highest FCF year in company history.
Special Dividend
In November 2009, the board of directors voted to approve a 10-for-1 stock split and corresponding special dividend of $0.03 per share, a 21% ROI based on the stock’s closing price at announcement.
The dividend would be paid in 3 quarterly installments due in December 2009, June 2010, and December 2010.
Although I missed out on the Dec ’09 dividend, $0.02 per share in dividends during the course of 2010 is an 11% return at current prices.
Valuation
Even with the near term catalyst and impressive financials, the stock is trading well below its normal multiples in a number of categories:
Current vs 5 yr Averages
P/E – 9.7 vs 13.7
P/B – 3.0 vs 3.8
P/Sales – 1.4 vs 1.9
Based on both DCF and EPV valuation methodology, ADVC should be trading closer to $0.30, providing substantial upside (and dividend) at its current price.
Conclusion
So, we have a stock that is paying a cash dividend, setting record net income & cash flow levels, increasing revenues each quarter during the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, and yet is trading well below its 5 year averages?
Seems cheap to me – what do you think?
Disclosure
Long ADVC