Tikcro Technologies LTD (TIKRF.PK) is an Israeli company involved in a lengthy battle with one of its primary investors.

At current prices, the stock sells at a discount to net cash, in addition to holding a profitable stake in another bio-tech stock traded on the Israeli exchange.

The stock offers an interesting risk/reward play, but uncertainty remain with the company’s long-entrenched management team.

Background

In April 2003, TIKRF sold off its legacy business to STMicroelectronics and turned into a blank check company. According to the SEC, a blank check company

“is a development stage company that has no specific business plan or purpose or has indicated its business plan is to engage in a merger or acquisition with an unidentified company or companies, other entity, or person.”

The PinkSheets are littered with many such entities. The company describes its goals in a recent SEC filing:

“Our business plan is to enter into one or more transactions with a wide variety of businesses without limitation as to their industry or revenues.”

After several years of searching, the company announced an investment in BioCancell Therapeautics, Inc, an Israel-based clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, in June 2008.

BioCancell Investment

BioCancell (TASE: BICL) is focused on developing a drug, BC-819, to treat a specific gene that causes tumors in many types of cancer, especially the bladder, pancreatic, and ovarian varieties.

To date, the company has generated no revenues and is on the long (and expensive) path of proving out the drug through multiple clinical trials in an attempt to pass the governmental approval process.

Tikcro invested $2.5m in BioCancell and received 837,521 shares of common stock and a four-year convertible note (convertible for up to 3,464,385 additional shares), as well as a 4-year warrant to purchase an additional 4.3m shares for $3m.

With this investment, Tikcro holds approximately 25% of Biocancell, including the convertible note and warrants (or approx. 12.5% based on its current investment without putting in additional capital to exercise the warrants).

BICL’s stock is up 35% since Tikcro’s initial investment. However, it is still unclear whether the company will create value for shareholders or turn out to be worthless, as success in bio-pharm companies is notoriously fickle.

Current Financials

As of June 30, 2010, TIKRF had $7.36m in cash and short-term marketable securities, offset by only 274k in current liabilities, for a net cash position of $7.09m. Dividing this cash balance by the number of shares outstanding (8.491m) equals net cash per share of $0.835.

However, the stock trades at a price of only $0.655, a discount of almost 22%, without taking into account the investment in BioCancell.

According to the TASE website, BICL closed with a market cap of 78,500 NIS thousands. Converted to dollars, this equals a total market cap of $21.64m.

With its 12.5% stake, the investment is worth an additional $2.71m or $0.32 per share for TIKRF.

Including this investment, investors are receiving $1.155 in value for only $0.655, a discount of 43%.

Interesting right? But its only the beginning…

Enter Mr. Steven N. Bronson

Steven N. Bronson is the founder and CEO of Catalyst Financial, a full-service investment banking firm. According to the official bio, he has over 27 years of Wall Street experience (in addition to describing himself as a “successful value investor.”)

Bronson has held a large position in TIKRF for years, announcing a 13-D position back in 2004. Based on the company’s most recent filing, Bronson holds 13.9% of shares outstanding.

Bronson has been involved in a prolonged activist fight against the entrenched management team of TIKRF. Through a series of letters, both personally and through a lawyer, Bronson has pushed to return TIKRF’s excess cash to shareholders and remove the current management team.

It is fascinating to watch how the fight has unfolded.

On August 14, 2007, Bronson writes:

“I am writing this letter to express my sincere concerns regarding the recent decision by management of Tikcro Technologies, Ltd. (Tikcro) to reject the business opportunity I introduced to Tikcro which involved both a significant capital infusion into Tikcro, as well as the leadership of a well respected and successful entrepreneur (the Transaction).

I also ask that the Board adopt a stock repurchase program, whereby Tikcro uses up to 20% of its assets to repurchase its shares in open market transactions whenever Tikcro’s shares are trading at prices below net tangible book value… any such repurchases by Tikcro will be accretive to shareholder value.”

In a letter dated October, 16, 2007, Bronson complains that TIKRF’s management team tried to grant itself stock options for 8.8% of the company at below its cash per share price:

“It is rather surprising that Messrs. Tamir and Paneth’s existing 26.6% ownership interest in Tikcro is not a sufficient incentive for Messrs. Tamir and Paneth to generate value for Tikcro’s shareholders.”

A year later, Bronson tries a different tact, applying for a liquidation of the company via a letter from his lawyer:

“Please be advised that it is our client’s view, in light for the current circumstances of the Company, including the current stock price and the conduct of the Board, that there are substantial causes to apply for the liquidation of the company.”

A month later, Bronson submits a new business plan, calling for an immediate distribution of $7.7m in company cash and a pro-rata portion of the company’s investment in BioCancell to common shareholders.

Despite several subsequent letters, it appears that the proposal was dismissed by TIKRF’s management team, as they moved forward with the annual shareholder meeting without considering the proposal.

Finally, on June 10, 2009, Bronson filed a lawsuit in the Tel Aviv District Court pushing for the company to consider the proposed business plan and return cash to shareholders, as well as complaints surrounding legality of group voting and compensation practices of the management team.

After the company called another shareholder meeting scheduled for September 2009 (once again, without the proposal), Bronson responded with another scathing letter:

“One needs to ask a very simple question, WHY is the Board delaying or should I say more accurately blocking, the submission of the Bronson Proposal to a vote of Tikcro’s shareholders. The simple answer is to protect the entrenchment of Messrs. Tamir and Paneth control over Tikcro.”

Once again, his requests were ignored. So Bronson tried a new tact in February 2010 – calling out that management failed to follow lawful procedures when electing the latest set of directors. According to Bronson’s lawyer:

“Tikcro was also advised that any decisions by Tikcro’s board taken without amending this fundamental fault are also not valid and cannot bind Tikcro.”

Since the February letter, there hasn’t been any communication (at least publicly), between the management team and Bronson.

Meanwhile, TIKRF continues on, filing its public reports and continued updates on progress at BioCancell.

Conclusion

The long fight by Steven Bronson sums up the challenges of investing in many of these micro-cap stocks.

It only reinforces the importance of finding capable management teams that truly care about creating value for common shareholders.

Even powerful activists like Bronson, with significantly more resources and legal help than the average investor, can sometimes be thwarted by entrenched management. In this case, the situation is only compounded by investing in foreign stocks governed by their own set of laws and procedures.

If Bronson prevails, TIKRF could instantly become an attractive value investment – picking up the excess cash for a discount while receiving the BioCancell business for free.

If not, it could be the classic case of a value trap, with a management team that is controlling shareholder’s destiny. A bad decision or investment by the management team could wipe out the cash balance and any margin of safety in an instant.

For now, I’ll continue watching from the sidelines.

Disclosure

No positions.

GPIC Summary

Gaming Partners Intl (GPIC.OB) is posting one of the best years in company history due to new casino openings in the U.S. and strong growth in Asia.

The company is protected by a strong moat – casinos often stick with a single supplier – especially for GPIC’s new high-tech casino chips where the company is protected by patent until at least 2015. Worldwide, GPIC controls over 70% of the casino chip market.

Despite a sharp decrease in revenue from the 2006 peak, the company has managed to remain profitable and generate solid cash flow – it now sits on almost $1.53/share in net cash.

2010 financial results show a strong improvement yet the stock remains only 11% above its 52-wk low.

Company Information

Gaming Partners International Corp (GPIC) has been distributing casino chips and other gambling supplies in the US since 1963 and in Europe since 1923.

GPIC is the leader in casino chip manufacturing and was an early adopter of high-tech radio frequency identification (RFID) chips designed to prevent counterfeiting and better track gambling results. Casino chips made up 66% of revenue in 2009.

In addition to chips, the company also stocks table layouts, playing cards, gaming furniture, dice, and other table accessories.

Casinos usually place a large order at opening, followed by replacement orders as chips wear out so the company benefits from repeat business. Despite this stickiness, large revenue increases generally result from new casino openings, where GPIC can supply initial chip orders and other gaming accessories.

Financial Results

In 2009, GPIC’s revenues dropped 18.2% to $49.5m, the lowest point since 2004. Net income for 2009 fell to $1.05m compared to $4.49m in 2008.

2009 results were hurt by a $1.6m goodwill impairment charge on GPIC’s USA segment, as the company struggled along with the rest of gambling stocks during the recession.

Despite the lower sales, the company managed to generate $7.8m in operating cash flow and $4m in owner earnings.

Through the first nine months of 2010, the company is off to a great start. Revenues were $43.2m through September 30, 2010, an increase of 29% over last year’s results for the same period.

The significant increase in revenue is due to several new casino openings in Pennsylvania. In fact, second quarter results set company records for gross profit, net income, and earnings per share.

GPIC received orders from all nine new Pennsylvania casinos, a testament to their dominant position in the marketplace.

Through the third quarter, the company has generated owner earnings of $4m, already equivalent to the results for all of 2009.

Most importantly, the company’s balance sheet remains strong, with $1.53 in net cash. Book value sits at $5.14 per share.

Catalysts

International Expansion

The company recently announced its first order to Mexico, a burgeoning gambling market. They also established a sales office in Macau, now the world’s largest gambling location.

Macau’s November gambling revenue surged 42% from a year earlier to its second-highest monthly total on record. According to a report by PricewaterhouseCoopers, gross gaming revenue in Macau will increase at a CAGR of 24.7% until 2014, reaching $45B.

Several new casinos including Galaxy’s Entertainment Group’s project in Cotai (600 tables) and Sands China’s expansion project (700 tables) are expected in early 2011.

In addition, the rise of other international gambling sites such as Singapore (2 new casinos) and Vietnam (under development) will only increase the market size for GPIC.

Increased U.S. Activity

PwC also predicts that U.S. activity will start picking up in earnest by late 2011, returning to pre-recession levels by 2014.

The Association of Gaming Equipment Manufacturers (AGEM) Index shows that casino equipment stocks have risen significantly from lows in 2009, but still have quite a bit of upside to reach pre-recession levels:

AGEM - November 2010 Index

In addition to benefiting from an increase in activity in Las Vegas, Atlantic City and other traditional gambling hot-beds, GPIC will also be lifted by more open legislation in the U.S.

Currently, 19 states offer commercial casinos. With increased pressure on budgets, more state legislatures are turning towards gambling as an alternative revenue source.

Ohio recently passed a bill allowing 4 new casinos in late 2011. Other casinos are planned in Maryland and Queens, NY, with initial discussions in Massachusetts and New Hampshire.

The Illinois state senate recently passed a bill expanding existing casinos and adding new ones in and around Chicago.

Each new state that legalizes commercial gambling will increase the opportunity for GPIC’s casino chips.

IGT Deal and RFID

On August 26, 2010, the company announced a license agreement with IGT (the industry behemoth):

“covering certain high-frequency RFID rights and products including software related to a Chip Inventory System (“CIS”), a newly developed communication platform to integrate RFID data into a variety of casino management systems and a license to certain other RFID related intellectual property and assets.”

This is another example of how GPIC’s RFID technology can be used to cross-sell existing opportunities, especially through such a strong sales channel.

More and more casinos are switching over to the new high-tech chips and corresponding inventory technology. Generally, RFID chips sell at a $1.20 – $2.00 premium per chip, boosting sales and profits as the industry moves towards a new standard.

Valuation

GPIC Stock Valuation

The company current trades at a P/B value of 1.1 despite significant improvements in 2010 results.

GPIC’s 5yr – average P/B ratio is 2.3 – assigning this same multiple would equal a per share price of $11.82.

Conclusion

Insiders hold 61.8% of outstanding stock, but one director holds more than 50%, effectively controlling the company.

A new CEO, Greg Gronau took over the helm in 2009 after the retirement of the long-time leader, Gerald Charlier, and the company promoted a new CFO a few months ago.

The shakeup in management caused executive compensation to increase significantly (due to options awards for both the new and departing CEO) – normally it is very reasonable.

I’d like to see the new CEO make a commitment to the company by increasing his stake in the business.

Even so, the company has responded aggressively under the new executive leadership, soundly capturing the growth opportunities with the recent casino openings. They also launched a brand new website that looks great.

GPIC will experience some slow down in the second half of 2010 and early 2011, but the industry growth prospects remain very bright for this microcap stock.

I’m adding GPIC to the ValueUncovered portfolio at yesterday’s closing price of $5.54.

Disclosure

Long GPIC

Advant-e Corporation (ADVC.OB) continues to chug along with outstanding results, posting another record setting release in the third quarter of 2010.

Financial Results

Third quarter revenues were $2.38m, a 10% increase compared to the same quarter last year.

The Edict Systems Group continues to impress, passing the $2m mark in revenue for the first time in company history – this result only adds to the consistent performance by ADVC’s Software-as-a-Service business.

ADVC - SaaS Revenue by Quarter (Q3 Update)

The traditional software business, The Merkur Group, reported its second consecutive QoQ sales increase, with revenues increasing 5% for the quarter to $379k.

Merkur continues to struggle with weak market demand, but management has cut costs and reduced bonuses in order to keep the segment continually profitable throughout the downturn and subsequent (slow) recovery.

Overall, net income jumped 37% to $434k or $0.006 per share. Year-to-date, net income is already over $1.05m.

By comparison, the company had net income of $1.19m for all of 2009 (which was the best year in company history) – if the business can even just match last year’s Q4 performance, it will be another record-breaking year.

The balance sheet remains solid with almost $0.05 per share in available cash along with an unused $500k credit line.

Catalysts

As previously discussed, ADVC has another cash dividend of $0.01 scheduled before the end of 2010. In addition, the earnings press release offers a potential growth opportunity:

“We are continuing to direct much of our energy to growth opportunities in the health care and manufacturing industries, where potential customers have shown interest in our service offerings.”

Leveraging existing software to branch into new markets is a solid business strategy – I imagine the healthcare field would be extremely interested in ADVC’s SaaS offerings.

Conclusion

While software companies are not usually the typical candidates for value investing, the market will sometimes choose to ignore even the steadiest performers.

Estimating ADVC’s intrinsic value using both DCF and EPV, the stock is worth $0.27 – $0.30 per share, a discount of 22% – 36% based on the latest closing price.

With so much cash on hand, I’d like to see management offer an additional special cash dividend in 2010 before the favorable tax treatment expires.

The company’s CEO, Jason Wadzinski, owns more than 50% of shares outstanding so it would be a nice payout for him as well.

(A thought process which reinforces the importance of investing in stocks where management and common shareholders’ interests are aligned!)

Disclosure

Long ADVC